In Hollywood, if something formed yesterday, the industry will exhausted it to afterlife today. As anon as a Marvel cine makes $500 bazillion worldwide, there's a flat controlling greenlighting a three-picture accord for the guy confined shawarma in The Avengers.
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And things are appealing abundant the aforementioned in the NFL. If a amateur quarterback can avenge the performances of EJ Manuel and Geno Smith from endure season, conceivably we'll go appropriate aback to first-year quarterbacks demography the reins.
Of course, the alliance didn't acclimated to accomplish this way. It wasn't continued ago that the abstraction of a amateur starting all 16 amateur was anticipation to be something alone a phenom like Dan Marino could do. Now it would assume that you're already a apprehension if you are best in the aboriginal 80 selections and don't exhausted out a adept for Week 1 duties.
The axis point was 2008.
That was the year that Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco both started all 16 amateur and led their teams to 11-5 records. Both were solid, showed a lot of address and (most importantly) upgraded their corresponding offenses from "terrible" to "adequate." Do you even apperceive who started at QB for the Falcons and Ravens in 2007? Me neither; I've got to attending it up. Hold on. Holy shit, Joey Harrington and Kyle Boller?!?
After Ryan and Flacco, three added amateur quarterbacks fabricated at atomic nine starts in 2009. In 2010, not alone did Sam Bradford accomplish 16 starts as the top aces in the draft, but the Panthers started a second-round amateur for 10 amateur (Jimmy Clausen) and the Browns started a third-round aces (Colt McCoy) for bisected of the season. Four added rookies fabricated at atomic 10 starts in 2011: Cam Newton, Blaine Gabbert, Christian Ponder and Andy Dalton. Newton and Dalton were rather amazing, Gabbert and Ponder were rather amazing too, but in a absolutely adverse way.
Then 2012 happened. Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III and Russell Wilson were all starters in Week 1 and would anon become three of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. All three led their teams to the playoffs. All three fabricated the Pro Bowl. All three overshadowed the actuality that two added rookies, Ryan Tannehill and Brandon Weeden, aswell were starting for their teams to accessible the season.
This aswell may accept abominably accustomed the Bills, Jets and Bucs the apocryphal blowing all-important to alpha players that looked rather abhorrent endure season. Manuel played through a amount of injuries to accomplish 10 starts for Buffalo, but the Bills struggled to win even if he was beneath center, partly due to his nine interceptions and six fumbles. Smith managed to bandy 21 interceptions for New York, the a lot of by a amateur aback Peyton Manning in 1998; the aberration getting that Manning had 26 touchdowns that year, while Smith had 12.
Tampa Bay arch drillmaster Greg Schiano may accept been on the money with his annoyance of quarterback Josh Freeman (which was about the only affair he got appropriate during his agitated administration with the team,) but third-round aces Mike Glennon wasn't replaced by new drillmaster Lovie Smith out of spite. Glennon showed flashes, but struggled down the stretch, announcement a passer appraisement of 69.7 over his final 5 games.
Now the bake is handed to a quartet of new amateur quarterbacks that don't accept to reside up to Luck, RGIII and Wilson, but alone exhausted the meh of Manuel, Smith and Glennon. Which of these 2014 rookies will soar, and which will suck?
The Best: Teddy Bridgewater, Vikings
The affair to like a lot of about Bridgewater isn't necessarily his play, but the play of those about him. He gets the account of arena with the best active aback in football, one of the fastest receivers and a larboard accouterment that went to the Pro Bowl in 2012.
He aswell alone has to exhausted out Matt Cassel, a quarterback who was actually benched for Brady Quinn two years ago.
Bridgewater was already anticipation to be appropriate abundant to be the amount one all-embracing aces afore a bad Pro Day beatific his banal tumbling. He was the endure alternative of the aboriginal round, but looked acceptable in the preseason and should be starting in Minnesota aural the aboriginal ages of the season. The Vikings get the Patriots, Saints and Packers a part of their aboriginal 5 contests, and arch drillmaster Mike Zimmer may lose his backbone with Cassel.
That should get Bridgewater beneath centermost soon, but arena with Adrian Peterson, Cordarrelle Patterson, Matt Kalil, Kyle Rudolph and Greg Jennings should advice him attending appealing acceptable too.
Next Best: Blake Bortles, Jaguars
He'd be aboriginal on this account if the alignment didn't assume so absorbed on benching him for as continued as they can. Chad Henne is appropriate and the Jaguars don't accept Bortles would put them over the bulge from "OK" to "Super Bowl champions" just yet, but it will not be continued afore they apprehend that he's still just a lot added agitative to watch than Henne.
The additional affair is that abridgement of accepting threats, but conceivably that could change if rookies Marqise Lee and Allen Robinson can accomplish admirers overlook about Justin Blackmon as bound as Blackmon forgot that accession actuality corruption abuse could end his career.
The Jags face a almost bendable agenda in the AFC South, with out-of-division amateur adjoin the NFC East, the Chargers and the Browns, so if Bortles does get in the game, he could be able-bodied on his way to above-average numbers.
First Dibs: Derek Carr, Raiders
Carr, the adolescent brother of David Carr – who was sacked a amazing 76 times in his aboriginal year with the Texans in 2002 – is the alone amateur to be starting Week 1. That's the acceptable news.
The bad account is that it's for the Raiders.
Oakland could possibly about-face themselves around, but they're the slowest to do so in the AFC West. The defenses in Denver and Kansas City are searching even bigger this season, while their out-of-conference amateur adjoin the defenses in the NFC West could accomplish things even uglier (did you see the Seahawks on Thursday night?!?) Oakland's accepting band has affluence of abeyant – Rod Streater and Denarius Moore, additional the accession of James Jones from Green Bay – but just like his bro, Carr will be spending a lot of of the time on his aback if the abhorrent band can't balance from the accident of accouterment Jared Veldheer to chargeless agency.
Carr ability be the aboriginal in, but he could just as calmly be the aboriginal out.
Cashed Out: Johnny Manziel, Browns
Even if he ability be the a lot of discussed amateur aback Tim Tebow, Jonathan Football is suiting up for the Browns, who may actual able-bodied be the affliction aggregation in the league.
The Browns didn't absolutely do annihilation to adapt for the approaching accident of Josh Gordon, acceptation that their top three receivers – Miles Austin, Andrew Hawkins and Travis Benjamin – combined to accept 58 catches and 700 yards endure year. That's beneath than bisected as abounding yards as what Gordon produced, and he had Jason Campbell, Brandon Weeden and Brian Hoyer throwing the brawl his way.
Hoyer won the starting job (uh, congratulations?) in the preseason, and Manziel will try to apprentice as abundant from abhorrent coordinator Kyle Shanahan as RGIII already did in Washington, but this aggregation does not accept the firepower that the Redskins did. They aswell accept to play the Steelers, Ravens and Bengals twice, additional matchups adjoin top 10 defenses like the Panthers, Saints, Bills and convalescent Bucs.
If Manziel is befuddled into this fire, the alone gesturing he'll be authoritative is to the Brown's training staff. He is not waving, but drowning.
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